# Probability: A Very Short Introduction

Probability A Very Short Introduction Making good decisions under conditions of uncertainty requires a sound appreciation of the way random chance works It requires in short an understanding of probability In this Very Short Introductio

Probability A Very Short Introduction stars until the very end, when counter intuitive, and, as far as I ve been able to research, false, statements about probability are stated but not even attempted to be explained, like that series of three of coin tosses aren t supposedly all equally likely to occur. Probability Probability is the measure of the likelihood that an event will occur See glossary of probability and statistics.Probability is quantified as a number between and , where, loosely speaking, indicates impossibility and indicates certainty The higher the probability of an event, the likely it is that the event will occur. Probability of default Probability of default PD is a financial term describing the likelihood of a default over a particular time horizon It provides an estimate of the likelihood that a borrower will be unable to meet its debt obligations PD is used in a variety of credit analyses and risk management frameworks. Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics, and Probability of Every so often, someone comes up with the statement the formation of any enzyme by chance is nearly impossible, therefore abiogenesis is impossible Often they cite as evidence an impressive looking, but ultimately erroneous, probability calculation. Random Variables and Probability Distributions De nition The function f whose value for each real number xis given by , or equiva lently by , is called the probability function of the random variable X. Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability probability Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability by S.P Meyn and R.L Tweedie Originally published by Springer Verlag, This version compiled September, Suggested citation S.P Meyn and R.L Tweedie , Markov chains and stochastic stability Springer Verlag, London. Textbook Introduction to Probability, nd Edition An intuitive, yet precise introduction to probability theory, stochastic processes, statistical inference, and probabilistic models used in science, engineering, economics, and related fields. Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, Chapter A Disclaimer J K Rowling owns Harry Potter, and no one owns the methods of rationality This fic is widely considered to have really hit its stride starting at around Chapter . A Very Improbable Story Charlesbridge Math Adventures What are the odds Ethan wakes up one morning to find a very strange cat stuck on his head The cat, Odds, refuses to budge until Ethan wins a game of probability. Interactivate Activities Shodor Students play a generalized version of connect four, gaining the chance to place a piece on the board by solving an algebraic equation Parameters Level of difficulty of equations to solve and type of problem.

• Title: Probability: A Very Short Introduction
• Author: John Haigh
• ISBN: 9780199588480
• Page: 164
• Format: Paperback
• Making good decisions under conditions of uncertainty requires a sound appreciation of the way random chance works It requires, in short, an understanding of probability In this Very Short Introduction, John Haigh introduces the ideas of probability and the different philosophical approaches to probability and gives a brief account of the history of development of probMaking good decisions under conditions of uncertainty requires a sound appreciation of the way random chance works It requires, in short, an understanding of probability In this Very Short Introduction, John Haigh introduces the ideas of probability and the different philosophical approaches to probability and gives a brief account of the history of development of probability theory, from Galileo and Pascal to Bayes, Laplace, Poisson, and Markov He describes the basic probability distributions and discusses a wide range of applications in science, economics, and a variety of other contexts such as games and betting He concludes with an intriguing discussion of coincidences and some curious paradoxes.

## One thought on “Probability: A Very Short Introduction”

1. author says:

I was expecting something better! Being an engineering student I always loved probability! Sometimes it's so intuitive while many times the result seem totally absurd!The book started okish, and kept on degrading until I stopped reading it! I was waiting to read something which I never thought about, but the book turned out very different, It seems as if author wrote to just for the sake of writing it.I would be reading this book soon again because I feel that maybe I didn't engage with the book [...]

2. author says:

This layman’s introduction to probability was okay. It covers the usual topics – relative frequency approach, subjective probability, history of probability, probability distributions, probability applications – with as little maths as possible. The second half, on applications, covers many topics and isn’t particularly well-written. The author does, to his great credit, describe the Poisson model for football. While the book wasn’t bad, I personally don’t see the benefits of it over [...]

3. author says:

A good review of introductory probability and its applications. The first half covers the basics, including the most common distributions and the latter half applies these to practical situations including some non-intuitive problems.

4. author says:

Probability is a funny beast. In its most rigorous and formal form it is one of the more interesting subfields of mathematics. And yet, unlike much else of mathematics, it is very familiar subject that has entered much of popular and colloquial usage. We talk casually and without much thinking of the chance of rain tomorrow, probability of winning the lottery, and even probabilities of various outcomes in our everyday private lives (passing the test, getting a new job, finding a girlfriend). It [...]

5. author says:

This was my second book in the Very Short Introduction series. The Mathematics introduction set the bar pretty high, which contributed to my disappointment with this one. Probability starts off strong by explaining different "views" of probably and clarifying some of the terms. This part was actually quite interesting and helpful. After the first chapter it begins a steady descent into a world ever less clear and familiar. The book is light on math, which is probably a relief for most readers, b [...]

6. author says:

Nice concise introduction to the subject: covers the difference between objective and subjective approches to probability, gives a quick run down the nuts and bolts of addition and multiplication laws and then takes the reader through a historical run down of the main ideas in probability, outlining things like the binomial, exponential and poisson distributions.The book also flags up a number of common fallacies and has a number of real world applications which illustrate how the probability ca [...]

7. author says:

4 stars until the very end, when counter-intuitive, and, as far as I've been able to research, false, statements about probability are stated but not even attempted to be explained, like that series of three of coin tosses aren't supposedly all equally likely to occur. Still this book is way better than the related 'Statistics: A Very Short Introduction' which leaves all the details out and consequently is not informative at all.

8. author says:

A great introductory text. Deciding what to include and what to skip over is not a task I would been able to complete Not without an algorithm anyway! The author has done a great job and whether as an introduction to the subject, a reminder of the key principles or scratching an itch to find out what this subject might be about - this is a good book.

9. author says:

As the title suggests, good for an overview of probability studies.

10. author says:

519.2 H1497 2012

11. author says:

It's an interesting book but as the rest of the series I don't think it's a good introduction. It's better if one's already familiarised with the material.

12. author says:

Good, mostly for bibliography for beginners